numpy.random.negative_binomial

numpy.random.negative_binomial(n, p, size=None)

Draw samples from a negative_binomial distribution.

Samples are drawn from a negative_Binomial distribution with specified parameters, n trials and p probability of success where n is an integer > 0 and p is in the interval [0, 1].

Parameters :

n : int

Parameter, > 0.

p : float

Parameter, >= 0 and <=1.

size : int or tuple of ints

Output shape. If the given shape is, e.g., (m, n, k), then m * n * k samples are drawn.

Returns :

samples : int or ndarray of ints

Drawn samples.

Notes

The probability density for the Negative Binomial distribution is

System Message: WARNING/2 (P(N;n,p) = \binom{N+n-1}{n-1}p^{n}(1-p)^{N}, )

latex exited with error: [stderr] [stdout] This is pdfTeX, Version 3.1415926-2.5-1.40.14 (TeX Live 2013/TeX Live for SUSE Linux) restricted \write18 enabled. entering extended mode (./math.tex LaTeX2e <2011/06/27> Babel <3.9f> and hyphenation patterns for 78 languages loaded. (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/article.cls Document Class: article 2007/10/19 v1.4h Standard LaTeX document class (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/size12.clo)) (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/inputenc.sty ! LaTeX Error: File `utf8x.def’ not found. Type X to quit or <RETURN> to proceed, or enter new name. (Default extension: def) Enter file name: ! Emergency stop. <read *> l.131 \endinput ^^M No pages of output. Transcript written on math.log.

where

System Message: WARNING/2 (n-1)

latex exited with error: [stderr] [stdout] This is pdfTeX, Version 3.1415926-2.5-1.40.14 (TeX Live 2013/TeX Live for SUSE Linux) restricted \write18 enabled. entering extended mode (./math.tex LaTeX2e <2011/06/27> Babel <3.9f> and hyphenation patterns for 78 languages loaded. (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/article.cls Document Class: article 2007/10/19 v1.4h Standard LaTeX document class (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/size12.clo)) (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/inputenc.sty ! LaTeX Error: File `utf8x.def’ not found. Type X to quit or <RETURN> to proceed, or enter new name. (Default extension: def) Enter file name: ! Emergency stop. <read *> l.131 \endinput ^^M No pages of output. Transcript written on math.log.
is the number of successes,

System Message: WARNING/2 (p)

latex exited with error: [stderr] [stdout] This is pdfTeX, Version 3.1415926-2.5-1.40.14 (TeX Live 2013/TeX Live for SUSE Linux) restricted \write18 enabled. entering extended mode (./math.tex LaTeX2e <2011/06/27> Babel <3.9f> and hyphenation patterns for 78 languages loaded. (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/article.cls Document Class: article 2007/10/19 v1.4h Standard LaTeX document class (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/size12.clo)) (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/inputenc.sty ! LaTeX Error: File `utf8x.def’ not found. Type X to quit or <RETURN> to proceed, or enter new name. (Default extension: def) Enter file name: ! Emergency stop. <read *> l.131 \endinput ^^M No pages of output. Transcript written on math.log.
is the probability of success, and

System Message: WARNING/2 (N+n-1)

latex exited with error: [stderr] [stdout] This is pdfTeX, Version 3.1415926-2.5-1.40.14 (TeX Live 2013/TeX Live for SUSE Linux) restricted \write18 enabled. entering extended mode (./math.tex LaTeX2e <2011/06/27> Babel <3.9f> and hyphenation patterns for 78 languages loaded. (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/article.cls Document Class: article 2007/10/19 v1.4h Standard LaTeX document class (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/size12.clo)) (/usr/share/texmf/tex/latex/base/inputenc.sty ! LaTeX Error: File `utf8x.def’ not found. Type X to quit or <RETURN> to proceed, or enter new name. (Default extension: def) Enter file name: ! Emergency stop. <read *> l.131 \endinput ^^M No pages of output. Transcript written on math.log.
is the number of trials.

The negative binomial distribution gives the probability of n-1 successes and N failures in N+n-1 trials, and success on the (N+n)th trial.

If one throws a die repeatedly until the third time a “1” appears, then the probability distribution of the number of non-“1”s that appear before the third “1” is a negative binomial distribution.

References

[R210]Weisstein, Eric W. “Negative Binomial Distribution.” From MathWorld–A Wolfram Web Resource. http://mathworld.wolfram.com/NegativeBinomialDistribution.html
[R211]Wikipedia, “Negative binomial distribution”, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_binomial_distribution

Examples

Draw samples from the distribution:

A real world example. A company drills wild-cat oil exploration wells, each with an estimated probability of success of 0.1. What is the probability of having one success for each successive well, that is what is the probability of a single success after drilling 5 wells, after 6 wells, etc.?

>>> s = np.random.negative_binomial(1, 0.1, 100000)
>>> for i in range(1, 11):
...    probability = sum(s<i) / 100000.
...    print i, "wells drilled, probability of one success =", probability

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